North American Gas Business Model - Regional Gas Balance Series
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Supply/Demand Assessment — Western Canada Region
This IHS report is an effective tool for:
- Producers seeking to maximize returns on current production and evaluating future investments
- Pipeline companies seeking to maximize throughput or contemplating future expansions
- Local distribution companies (LDCs) charged with making prudent long-term supply and related infrastructure decisions
- End-users seeking reliable, least-cost supply sources
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Overview
Western Canadian natural gas supply has been and continues to be a significant component in the U.S. portfolio of natural gas sources. Currently, the U.S. imports approximately 3.8 TCF from Canada, up from 1.5 TCF in 1990. Canadian imports are expected to be a critical factor in the energy strategy going forward. However, a number of factors could change the volume available to be exported to the U.S. in the next 10-20 years. The study described below evaluates these and other key issues and provides a valuable tool for developing a portfolio that maximizes returns on Western Canadian natural gas investments.
Report details
- Top major and independent producers in the supply regions, including associated production volumes
- Credit positions of top producers and major pipeline shippers in the region
- Detailed natural gas supply analysis of Western Canada sources in British Columbia, Alberta and Saskatchewan
- Detailed supply analysis includes:
- Vintaged daily production, by year, declined out through 2010
- Original, remaining and yet-to-find (YTF) reserve estimates under various natural gas pricing and development scenarios
- Annual success ratios and rig activity report
- Major pipeline shippers, including firm commitments and associated contract expiration dates
- Pipeline capacity and rate information, matching supply and demand components and balancing the network at each pricing scenario, including anticipated pipeline expansions
- Detailed natural gas demand estimates for the demand regions accessible to Western Canada by customer type (e.g. residential, commercial, industrial, power). These would include Western U.S., Upper Midwestern U.S., and Northeastern U.S. markets
- Delivered in hardcopy format only, with optional MS Excel database for importing data into your existing modeling framework
The IHS Advantage
- Forecasts that comprehend gas production at the basin, field and well levels, based on IHS’s vast array of natural gas production and reserve information - the most up-to-date and accurate supply data in the industry
- Results generated from our proprietary North American Gas Business Model (NAGBM) utilizing 7 pricing scenarios from $2.00 - $8.00 per MMBtu with market outcomes that are bounded by these conditions
- Expertise of seasoned, hands-on IHS consultants in the evaluation and description of the results generated in the assessment
Strategic Value
- Allows companies to make focused capital allocation decisions at numerous pricing levels.
- Provides an unbiased, third-party assessment of supply/demand/transportation balances and what is needed in the way of infrastructure to satisfy constraints or imbalances
- Combined with IHS industry expertise, provides a powerful tool in the business development and planning arena, enabling the timely execution of strategic initiatives
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