North American Gas Business Model — Understanding the North American Gas Business

Wouldn't you like to be able to: Plan your gas business with a greater degree of reasoned analysis, with a reliable gas price forecast and a comprehensive gas production profile? React to changes in market indicators by anticipating their effects within hours or days, rather than months?

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IHS’s North American Gas Business Model gives you a complete and accurate picture of the North American gas supply-demand balance. A comprehensive package of essential information, intuitive software and a compilation of analyses performed by our own team of gas industry experts – the Model provides the tools to integrate the complex matrix of information required to understand and capture the greatest value in the North American gas market.

The interdependency of supply and demand fundamentals provided in this Model gives you a practical analytical tool that supports strategic, marketing and specific investment decisions. Start with North America and then narrow your analysis down to a region, basin or field. The North American Gas Business Model will help you better understand where the optimal opportunities lie and the ideal timing for targeting your investments.

Complex situations take only minutes to model and modify, giving you flexibility to evaluate changes in the gas business environment. You can quickly evaluate detailed or specific problems such as:

• How do supply and demand levels impact price?
• Identifying growth areas and creating effective business strategies
• Given the predictions of gas price across North america, which development project will give my company the best overall return?
• What is the sensitivity of my profits should certain political policies be approved?
• What is the ultimate capacity to export production from the Rockies?
• How will LNG import facilities impact market regions?
• What impact will Alaskan gas have on the overall market?
• How will the developments in Mexico affect U.S. prices?

Updated quarterly, you will always have the most up-to-date analyzed data available at your fingertips. The comprehensive package includes:

IHS North American gas analysis

• Supply and demand balance so you can better predict pricing shifts and the timing of those shifts
• Equilibrium price for Natural Gas at Henry Hub and the differential price around North America
• Pipeline utilization and ultimate capacity constraints

Essential information

• Associated, non-associated and coalbed methane gas reserves and yet-to-find reserves data
• Associated, non-associated gas and coalbed methane well production data and decline analyses
• New field reservoir data and production profiles for Offshore Continental Shelf and Deepwater Gulf of Mexico, Alaska, Mexico and Canadian Frontiers
• Drilling fleet numbers and performance and projected effect on future production
• CAPEX and OPEX
• Economics for new wells and fields
• Demand data by sector, including power, industrial, commercial and residential areas

Intuitive software

• A suite of software that allows you to replicate, modify or remodel the analysis
• the easily customizable suite of tools allows you to adjust parameters in the system to reflect your own assumptions and apply the model to your worldwide gas investment opportunities

• Where supplies are located and how long they will last at the current production rates
• Reserve levels and potential for yet-to-find discoveries
• Historic decline and new well production rates

With the North American Gas business Model, you can calculate projected production volumes within the context of costs and drilling rig fleet levels indexed to gas price. Demand scenarios build on IHS's U.S. commercial energy profile and major industrial plant databases, which anticipate increases in utilization and growth.

Balancing these with pipeline system capacity and tariff considerations provides for a complete evaluation of the supply-demand situation in North America. Systematic build-up on supply and demand profiles, with ability to link sophisticated trending and owner’s analysis, gives you a completely visible and flexible system to fully understand the dynamics of the natural gas market.

This unique offering of information, applications and analysis will give you the ability to maximize your opportunities, support your decisions and optimize your gas portfolio.