North American Gas Business Model - Regional Gas Balance Series
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Supply/Demand Assessment — California Region
This IHS report is an effective tool for:
- Producers seeking to maximize returns on current production and evaluating future investments
- Pipeline companies seeking to maximize throughput or contemplating future expansions
- Local distribution companies (LDCs)charged with making prudent long-term supply and related infrastructure decisions
- End-users seeking reliable, least-cost supply sources
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Overview
For the past four years, California has been rocked by volatility in state electric markets. Demand continues to grow, due in large part to new gas-fired generation. While Rockies pipeline expansions have brought additional supplies to the state, the balance between supply and demand remains tenuous. This report provides the information to assess your current and future supply situation and sets the stage for better understanding the newest input into California’s long term energy picture - LNG.
Report details
- Top major and independent producers in the supply regions, including associated production volumes
- Credit positions of top producers and major pipeline shippers in the region
- Detailed natural gas supply analysis of California’s primary (imported) supply points including in-state supplies, the Rockies (including San Juan), Permian and Western Canadian basins
- Detailed supply analysis includes:
- Vintaged daily production, by year, declined out through 2010
- Original, remaining and yet-to-find (YTF) reserve estimates under various natural gas pricing and development scenarios
- Annual success ratios and rig activity report
- Major firm pipeline shippers, including firm commitments and associated contract expiration dates
- Pipeline capacity and rate information, matching supply and demand components and balancing the network at each pricing scenario, including anticipated pipeline expansions
- Detailed natural gas demand estimates by customer type
(i.e. residential, commercial, industrial, power), accounting for variances including: GDP, weather, and population growth
- Delivered in hardcopy format only, with optional MS Excel database for importing data into your existing modeling framework
The IHS Advantage
- Forecasts that comprehend gas production at the basin, field and well levels, based on IHS’s vast array of natural gas production and reserve information - the most up-to-date and accurate supply data in the industry
- Results generated from our proprietary North American Gas Business Model (NAGBM) utilizing 7 pricing scenarios from $2.00 - $8.00 per MMBtu with market outcomes that are bounded by these conditions
- Expertise of seasoned, hands-on IHS consultants in the evaluation and description of the results generated in the assessment
Strategic Value
- Allows companies to make focused capital allocation decisions at numerous pricing levels.
- Provides an unbiased, third-party assessment of supply/demand/transportation balances and what is needed in the way of infrastructure to satisfy constraints or imbalances
- Combined with IHS industry expertise, provides a powerful tool in the business development and planning arena, enabling the timely execution of strategic initiatives
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